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Slight Risk for Severe Weather This Afternoon

Slight Risk for Severe Weather This Afternoon

The system that we have been talking about the last few days is here and is alredy producing some flash flooding. There is also a risk that there could be some severe weather this afternoon in some of the stronger storms. The main threat will be wind with some of these storms, but also flash flooding is very likely as well. Take a look below and you will see that the SPC is talking about isolated tornadoes but I do not see that happening, I see mainly wind. None the less, these storms will be producing torrential rain with flash flooding a given across the area. Remember to turn around on a road if you can not see the road ahead of you!

More updates later.

Atlanta Weather | 4th Of July Forecast

Atlanta Weather | 4th Of July Forecast

Latest updates show the potential for heavy rain moving into our area later this afternoon and tonight. Some of the heavy showers will diminish overnight, but there will be some lingering light to moderate showers early Thursday morning. We are still on track for a soggy 4th of July.


Thursday Morning (5am – 11am):

We will have lingering light to moderate showers. The chance for lightning will be very low thanks to the cloud cover and overnight rain.
 
Thursday Afternoon (11am – 4pm):

Showers will become more wide spread. There will be some embedded thunderstorms. The rain will be heavy at times. Some of the storms could produce frequent lightning, hail and gusty winds.

 

Thursday Evening: (4pm -11pm):

Flash Flooding Possible Across N Georgia Late This Week

Flash Flooding Possible Across N Georgia Late This Week

We are expecting a lot of rain again this week, unfortunately it looks like the heaviest rain will be falling on the 4th of July in the morning!! Of course if you are running the AJC Peachtree Road Race this means that you are going to need to check in here and on TV the next few days to see if things change at all... Here is the deal as of right now:

FLASH FLOOD WATCH

A flash flood watch is in effect across all of N Georgia starting on Wednesday morning and lasting through Friday morning. There is plume of tropicall moisture that is being funneled by an upper high to the east in the Atlantic and an upper low centered in the Midwest. That is going to focus all the heaviest rain across all of N Georgia over the next few days with the heaviest rain being just to the west of the Atlanta metro area through the weekend.

Timing

Atlanta Weather | Wet Holiday Forecast

Atlanta Weather | Wet Holiday Forecast

Big 4th of July holiday coming this week, and the weather looks to be unsettled for much of the week. While the heat continues out west, we will be locked with the chance of showers and thunderstorms. Some of the showers will be very heavy at times, and some thunderstorms could produce some frequent lightning. Unfortunately, the best chance for the rain this week will be Wednesday and Thursday. Currently both have a 60% for showers and thunderstorms.

 

If you are traveling anywhere along the east coast, the chances are you be wet.

The humid, moist flow that set up across the East will persist through this week, providing fuel for more drenching showers and thunderstorms from Maine through Florida.

Showers and thunderstorms are also extending back into parts of the Ohio and Tennessee valleys, but the number turning heavy and severe will be more localized than those to the east.

 

Atlanta Weather | More Wet Weather And Severe Threat

Atlanta Weather | More Wet Weather And Severe Threat

We will be watching for more scattered showers and thunderstorms this afternoon. Some of the storms could reach severe limits. One of two of the thunderstorms will have the possibility to produce winds up to 58mph or stronger, and pea size hail. The Storm Prediction Center has placed the Atlanta metro area and cities south to Macon, under a slight risk for severe storms. The threat will last through early evening.
Look for partly cloudy skies tonight, and we will begin Friday with the same. But another short wave will move through the area late bringing another round scattered thunderstorms.
The only change in this pattern could come Saturday, when the thunderstorm threat shifts to the south portions of the state, but that will be brief! More unsettled weather in the form of afternoon scattered showers and thunderstorms will return Sunday and much of next week.

Strong Storms Likely Tomorrow Morning

Strong Storms Likely Tomorrow Morning

So there are some big nasty storms in the Kentucky area tonight that are feeding on a low level plume of warm moist air that will bring those things right towards N Georgia. The problem is that the models are flat out not showing that happening. In one simple graphic, I am going to show you why I think the models are F:LAT OUT WRONG!

Strong T-Storms Affecting Parts of the Metro

Strong T-Storms Affecting Parts of the Metro

I am watching a few strong t-storms out to the weather that have had quite a bit of lightning over the last few hours. Mainly affecting Harralson and Paulding counties as they are mofing towards the east at around 15mph. Dangerous lightning, gusty winds, and bried very heavy rain are likely with this cluster of storms. This line will most likely hold together and get close to metro Atlanta through around 6-7pm. I am not expecting this to become severe.